Wednesday, June 25, 2014

Fixing the NBA Draft

On May 20th, almost three million people tuned in to watch the NBA Draft Lottery. That's right -- more people watched this year's NBA Draft Lottery than have attended Miami Heat games since they signed LeBron James.

The draft lottery consists of twelve ping-pong balls getting pulled from a spinning plastic drum. But the really pathetic thing is that we don't even get to see the balls bounce around. The ping-pong balls are drawn off-camera, and then the results are put in an envelope. And then three million Americans turn on their TV to watch the envelopes get opened.

It's like bingo, but worse. It's like waiting for your grandmother to go play bingo. Then, when she gets home, asking her what happened. As an American, that makes me sad. We have nothing better to do than watch a TV show that reveals, second-hand, the results of "Bingo For Billionaires".

The good news is that we can fix it. We don't have to allocate draft picks like a church pastor calling out bingo numbers. We can replace the NBA Draft Lottery with the NBA Draft Tournament.

The NBA Draft Tournament

Instead of putting all 14 non-playoff teams into a big bucket and playing bingo, we put all 14 teams into a single-elimination tournament bracket. All the excitement of March Madness, but with the future of your favorite NBA team resting in the balance.

Here's how it works:

1) Divide the 14 non-playoff teams into two brackets containing 7 teams each (one bracket for each conference).

2) In each bracket, the teams with the most regular-season wins play each other in a 1-game playoff. The loser goes home and the winner advances to play the team with the next best regular-season record.

3) Continue until you have one winner from each conference. These two teams play for the #1 pick.

4) Award the remaining picks according to how far each team advanced in the NBA Draft Tournament.

For example, these are what the brackets would have been for the 2014 NBA Draft Tournament:

Western Conference
Eastern Conference
Game #1
Phoenix Suns (48-34)
at
Minnesota Timberwolves (40-42)
Game #2
New York Knicks (37-45)
at
Cleveland Cavaliers (33-49)
Game #3
Winner of Game #1 (above)
at
  Denver Nuggets (36-46)
Game #4
Winner of Game #2 (above)
at
Detroit Pistons (29-53)
Game #5
Winner of Game #3 (above)
at
 New Orleans Pelicans (33-49)
Game #6
Winner of Game #4 (above)
at
Boston Celtics (25-57)
Game #7
Winner of Game #5 (above)
at
 Sacramento Kings (28-54)
Game #8
Winner of Game #6 (above)
at
Orlando Magic (23-59)
Game #9
Winner of Game #7 (above)
at
Los Angeles Lakers (27-55)
Game #10
Winner of Game #8 (above)
at
Philadelphia 76ers (19-63)
Game #11
Winner of Game #9 (above)
at
 Utah Jazz (25-57)
Game #12
Winner of Game #10 (above)
at
Milwaukee Bucks (15-67)
Championship Game
Winner of Game #11
vs.
Winner of Game #12

But Is It "Fair"?

This tournament model has the advantage of maintaining the "integrity" of current system. In other words, the worst teams still have the best chance to earn the #1 pick. But they actually have to earn it -- on the basketball court.

This table shows the chance of each team getting the #1 pick using this tournament format, compared to the chance currently given to them by the NBA in the lottery:

LotteryTournamentWestern ConferenceEastern ConferenceTournamentLottery
0.5% 0.6%Suns (48-34)Knicks (37-45)0.7%0.7%
0.6% 0.6%Timberwolves (40-42)Cavaliers (33-49)0.8%1.7%
0.8% 1.0%  Nuggets (36-46)Pistons (29-53)1.5%2.8%
1.1% 2.3% Pelicans (33-49)Celtics (25-57)2.9%10.3%
4.3% 4.4%Kings (28-54)Magic (23-59)6.6%15.6%
6.3% 10.7%Lakers (27-55)76ers (19-63)13.6%19.9%
10.4% 24.3%Jazz (25-57)Bucks (15-67)29.4%25.0%

The End of Tanking?

Because the tournament format requires that you actually win at least 2 games in order to win the #1 pick, tanking is discouraged. A bad record gives you a better position in the tournament, but you still need a team good enough to win.

Friday, April 18, 2014

It's Finally Time For The Redskins To Change Their Name

Europeans came to America, committed genocide against the societies that lived here, adopted a racial slur for these people, and then assigned that slur to the NFL team in our nation's capital. Even political conservatives like Charles Krauthammer believe that the team's name is "unmistakably patronizing and demeaning".

It's sad and horrible and shameful. It's as if the capital of Germany had a soccer team called the Berlin Kikes. Yes, it really is that bad. If you don't think it's that bad, it's only because you've gotten used to it.

But until now, we haven't had the cojones to change the name, because the Redskins haven't sucked badly enough. Nobody wants to change the name of their team when they make the playoffs and have the league's most exciting player under center (as was true in 2012, with a healthy Robert Griffin III at quarterback).

But after you go 3-13 and lose your last 8 games, your team is an embarrassment. And a name change starts to look pretty good. The last-place Seattle Supersonics changed their name (and city) in 2009. Two years later, they were in the NBA finals.

The Western Conference Champion Oklahoma Thunder (formerly the last-place Seattle Supersonics)

Picking a New Name

Thankfully, the Redskins' new name is obvious: the Washington Pitbulls.


The NFL team in our nation's capital needs to have a distinctly American name. We can't call them the "Eagles" or the "Patriots", because those names are already taken by teams within a 6-hour train ride. And we don't want to end up with a uniquely uninspiring name like the "Nationals" or "Senators" or "Capitals".

If you have been to D.C., you know that it is not a city about nature. Washington D.C. is not a showcase for pristine lakes and mountain views. It is not Portland or Denver or San Diego. You can't refer to a team from our nation's capital as the "Grizzlies" or the "Rockies". At the least, you can't do it with a straight face.

Washington is a city built around people: politicians and pundits, lobbyists and lawyers. It is a city of stubborn partisans who pick a cause, clamp down, and don't let go. It is, simply put, a city of pit bulls.


And a city of pit bulls is the appropriate capital for a country that revolves around our dogs. We love our dogs more than we love our people. We just cut $5 billion from SNAP (aka "food stamps") but we spend more than $30 billion each year on our dogs.

Mitt Romney lost the 2012 election because he strapped the family dog to the roof of his car. If he had done the same thing to one of his five sons, he would probably be in the White House right now.

          

The pit bull is the only truly American dog. "Pit bull" isn't even an official breed. Instead, the name refers to a variety of mutts that are loosely related to the American Staffordshire Terrier, Staffordshire Bull Terrier or the American Bulldog.

And just like Americans, pit bulls can be white or black, yellow or brown, large or small, energetic or lazy. It's time for the Redskins to change their name, and there is only one logical choice.


Thursday, February 20, 2014

Unnecessary Quotation Marks

Photo by "Camille" at UnnecessaryQuotes.com
In writing e-mails to people for whom English is not their "native language", I have found it quite useful to use "unnecessary quotation marks" to "emphasize a point" or demarcate an "important term". 

Quotes have proven more useful than capitalization or italicization, because Korean doesn't have capital letters or italics. Wikipedia claims that Koreans puts dots above each syllable block for emphasis but it also says "[citation needed]". And I certainly don't want to SCREAM at a colleague, just because THEY DON'T HAVE THE COMMON COURTESY TO SPEAK ENGLISH.

So the next time you are driving through Alabama and you see a sign for "pickled eggs" at a "restaurant", consider the fact that for Sally May Jenkins of Tuscaloosa, English may not be her native tongue. You don't have to get out of the car and "urinate" on her "sign" just because you are "very angry".

Simply go inside and kindly inquire as to what Sally May's first language is. Then "listen" to her. This will go a "long way" towards mending the "antipathy" that currently "exists" between the "educated elite" and the "ignorant pig fuckers".

You're welcome.

P.S. My reference above to "common courtesy" was taken from this Steve Martin bit.

Monday, February 3, 2014

Making The Pro Bowl Matter

If the NFL wants to boost ratings for the Pro Bowl, they need to make it count for something.

NFL fans are serious. They will show up in sub-zero weather to root for a last-place team. But they won't bother to turn on the TV for an exhibition game that doesn't have any effect on the actual season.

The solution: Give the top draft picks to the conference that wins the Pro Bowl.

Won-Loss records would still be used to rank teams within each conference. But the Pro Bowl winner is guaranteed to get the #1 pick.

For example, this is the current draft order for the 2014 NFL draft:

Pick #
Team
Pick #
Team
1
Houston Texans (AFC)
17
Dallas Cowboys (NFC)
2
St. Louis Rams (NFC)
18
New York Jets (AFC)
3
Jacksonville Jaguars (AFC)
19
Miami Dolphins (AFC)
4
Cleveland Browns (NFC)
20
Arizona Cardinals (NFC)
5
Oakland Raiders (AFC)
21
Green Bay Packers (NFC)
6
Atlanta Falcons (NFC)
22
Philadelphia Eagles (NFC)
7
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (NFC)
23
Kansas City Chiefs (AFC)
8
Minnesota Vikings (NFC)
24
Cincinnati Bengals (AFC)
9
Buffalo Bills (AFC)
25
San Diego Chargers (AFC)
10
Detroit Lions (NFC)
26
Indianapolis Colts (AFC)
11
Tennessee Titans (AFC)
27
New Orleans Saints (NFC)
12
New York Giants (NFC)
28
Carolina Panthers (NFC)
13
St. Louis Rams (NFC)
29
New England Patriots (AFC)
14
Chicago Bears (NFC)
30
San Francisco 49ers (NFC)
15
Pittsburgh Steelers (AFC)
31
Denver Broncos (AFC)
16
Baltimore Ravens (AFC)
32
Seattle Seahawks (NFC)

If this rule had been in place, and the AFC had won, this would be the resulting draft order:

Pick #
Team
Pick #
Team
1
Houston Texans (AFC)
17
St. Louis Rams (NFC)
2
Jacksonville Jaguars (AFC)
18
Atlanta Falcons (NFC)
3
Cleveland Browns (AFC)
19
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (NFC)
4
Oakland Raiders (AFC)
20
Minnesota Vikings (NFC)
5
Buffalo Bills (AFC)
21
Detroit Lions (NFC)
6
Tennessee Titans (AFC)
22
New York Giants (NFC)
7
Pittsburgh Steelers (AFC)
23
St. Louis Rams (NFC)
8
Baltimore Ravens (AFC)
24
Chicago Bears (NFC)
9
New York Jets (AFC)
25
Dallas Cowboys (NFC)
10
Miami Dolphins (AFC)
26
Arizona Cardinals (NFC)
11
Kansas City Chiefs (AFC)
27
Green Bay Packers (NFC)
12
Cincinnati Bengals (AFC)
28
Philadelphia Eagles (NFC)
13
San Diego Chargers (AFC)
29
New Orleans Saints (NFC)
14
Indianapolis Colts (AFC)
30
Carolina Panthers (NFC)
15
New England Patriots (AFC)
31
San Francisco 49ers (NFC)
16
Denver Broncos (AFC)
32
Seattle Seahawks (NFC)

And this would be the draft order if the NFC had won:

Pick #
Team
Pick #
Team
1
St. Louis Rams (NFC)
17
Houston Texans (AFC)
2
Atlanta Falcons (NFC)
18
Jacksonville Jaguars (AFC)
3
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (NFC)
19
Cleveland Browns (AFC)
4
Minnesota Vikings (NFC)
20
Oakland Raiders (AFC)
5
Detroit Lions (NFC)
21
Buffalo Bills (AFC)
6
New York Giants (NFC)
22
Tennessee Titans (AFC)
7
St. Louis Rams (NFC)
23
Pittsburgh Steelers (AFC)
8
Chicago Bears (NFC)
24
Baltimore Ravens (AFC)
9
Dallas Cowboys (NFC)
25
New York Jets (AFC)
10
Arizona Cardinals (NFC)
26
Miami Dolphins (AFC)
11
Green Bay Packers (NFC)
27
Kansas City Chiefs (AFC)
12
Philadelphia Eagles (NFC)
28
Cincinnati Bengals (AFC)
13
New Orleans Saints (NFC)
29
San Diego Chargers (AFC)
14
Carolina Panthers (NFC)
30
Indianapolis Colts (AFC)
15
San Francisco 49ers (NFC)
31
New England Patriots (AFC)
16
Seattle Seahawks (NFC)
32
Denver Broncos (AFC)

This has the additional advantage of eliminating worries about teams "tanking". There's no point in intentionally losing games to get the #1 pick if you might drop to pick #17 after the Pro Bowl.

But, unlike some other other anti-tanking ideas, this system continues to give better picks to weaker teams, to help create parity.